Enough of the bloodshed in Tigray: Abiy Ahmed should act now!

It is instructive to state that Tigray is not on the side of lawlessness.

Enough of the bloodshed in Tigray: Abiy Ahmed should act now!

Between November and now thousands of civilians and soldiers, mostly Tigrayans have died in the Ethiopia-Tigray war. It is unfortunate that this avoidable conflict has festered despite interventions by world powers and regional blocks. It is even more unfortunate that the Ethiopian Prime Minister, who won Nobel Peace Award in 2018 oversees the war in the Northern region of the country.

Latest reports say while thousands of people died in the Tigray region, some five million people in Tigray are in need of food aid and more than 350,000 are living in famine conditions, according to a recent UN-backed estimate. This grim report orchestrated by the superior firepower and alliances of the Ethiopian authority, the people of Tigray have demonstrated uncommon crave for self-determination.

It is instructive to state that Tigray is not on the side of lawlessness. The 1995 Constitution of Ethiopia states in Article 39.1, “Every Nation, Nationality and People in Ethiopia has an unconditional right to self-determination, including the right to secession.”

Again, Article 62.9 grants the House of Federation (HoF) the right to “order Federal intervention if any State [government], in violation of [the] Constitution, endangers the constitutional order.”

In late September 2020, the TPLF stated that the constitutional term limit of the HoF, the House of Peoples’ Representatives (HoPR), the Prime Minister and the Council of Ministers was 5 October 2020, and that for this reason, it would consider “the incumbent” constitutionally illegitimate after 5 October. TPLF proposed replacing the government by a technocratic caretaker government as detailed in a plan posted on Facebook by the Coalition of Ethiopian Federalist Forces.

As elections were being counted in some parts of Ethiopia on Tuesday, heavy fighting again broke out in several areas in Ethiopia’s northern region of Tigray between rebels and federal troops, reports say.

The rebel Tigray Defence Force (TDF) said it had seized several towns, where witnesses have told the BBC they have seen its fighters patrolling.

The federal Ethiopian army dismissed the claim, saying it was fake news.

This is the most serious fighting since November, when the Ethiopian government declared victory in the conflict.

Rebel spokesman Gebre GebreTsadiq said that the TDF had launched the attack last week targeting several towns. He said the fighters had destroyed military vehicles and captured some soldiers.

Witnesses have said that rebel forces have entered the strategic town of Adigrat, which is just 45 km (30 miles) from the Eritrean border. If confirmed, this would be the most significant rebel advance since the war began.

TDF fighters have also been seen in several towns both to the north and south of the region’s capital of Mekelle.

Army spokesman Colonel Getnet confirmed there was fighting but denied that any towns, army equipment or soldiers had been captured.

“While the Ethiopian government was busy with the national elections and the GERD [Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam] issues, the terrorist TPLF [a key part of the TDF], along with its young recruits, was actively involved in terrorist activities,” he said.

He added that operations were underway to capture the rebel leaders.

This is the rebels’ biggest offensive since the conflict began in November last year.

They suffered a series of setbacks at the start of the war, but now seem to have regrouped and are preparing for a long, brutal war.

The timing is instructive, it started just days before the election which the ruling party is widely expected to win.

The key question is: Will Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed use his electoral mandate to enter into talks with the rebels or he will press ahead with seeking victory on the battlefield?

What is not in doubt is the rebels have sent a strong message to the rest of the world that Ethiopia is at war, despite the government’s narrative that the fighting was almost over.

The reports of the rebel capture of Adigrat, which is within striking distance of Eritrea, would be significant, suggesting that Eritrean troops will not be withdrawing from Tigray any time soon despite growing international pressure.

This war is set to linger for a long time, aggravating Tigray’s already dire food shortages and imminent famine.

Ethiopia’s government, aided by troops from neighbouring Eritrea, launched an offensive in November last year to oust the region’s then ruling party, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). By the end of the month, it declared victory.

The TPLF had had a massive fallout with Mr Abiy over his political reforms though its capture of federal military bases in Tigray was the catalyst for the invasion.

The TPLF has since joined forces with other groups in Tigray to form the TDF.

Speaking to the BBC on Monday after casting his vote in the twice delayed national election, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed said he was working with the Eritrean troops to get them to leave but said he would not “push them out”.

They are accused of carrying out massacres, mass rape and blocking humanitarian aid – charges Eritrea has denied.

He also denied that there was hunger in Tigray. He admitted there was a problem but said the government could fix it.

According to BBC, Mr Abiy has also ruled out talks with the TPLF, which was labelled a terrorist organisation by the national government, in May.

We disagree with Abiy Ahmed and his disposition. It is high time, therefore, Abiy Ahmed looked the way of Tigrayans with compassion and constitutionalism. The blood that is being shed in that part of the country is needless. Ahmed should give to Tigray, the same olive branch he extended to Eritrea. It is surprising that Eritrea does not want Tigray to benefit from Abiy Ahmed’s milk of human kindness, instead, Eritrea is joining forces against Tigray. For the avoided of doubt, Eritrea trod the same path for about 20 years, so Eritrea knows where it hurts. One would expect that Eritrea should be a brother to Tigray or at least stay away from fighting to subdue a kindred spirit.